Whether or not he wins or loses, it's the message that's most important. It's not the odds he has to overcome, just the media's Berlin Wall. If he were actually given the chance to speak to everyone, voters would flock to him by the hundreds, if not thousands.
However, I agree with WillyBubba in my assessment of his current situation. Ron Paul seems to be banking on a rather large presumption that he will get a majority of delegates backing him. If it's really the case, then this could easily hurt his efforts.